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Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur – Breakdown and Prediction

Photo by Hugo Pfeiffer/Icon Sport

Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur: Roland Garros – quarterfinal

Alexander Zverev will take on Alex de Minaur in the quarterfinal at Roland Garros on Wednesday.

 

Alexander Zverev Profile

Alexander Zverev is fourth in the ATP rankings, and his career high was No. 2 in the world. The German is 32-9 for the season and 14-3 on clay.

Zverev is coming off a 4-6, 6-1, 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 win over Holger Rune in the round of 16. Earlier in the tournament, he defeated Tallon Griekspoor, David Goffin, and Rafael Nadal.

Zverev won the title in Rome the week before Roland Garros. He also reached the semifinals at the Australian Open and in Los Cabos and Miami.

Zverev made his debut at Roland Garros in 2015 and reached the semifinals in his last three appearances.

 

Alex de Minaur Profile

Alex de Minaur is 11th in the world, two spots lower than his career high. The Australian is 29-10 for the season and 10-4 on clay.

He is coming off a 4-6, 6-2, 6-1, 6-3 win over Daniil Medvedev in the round of 16. Previously, he defeated Jan-Lennard Struff, Jaume Munar, and Alex Michelsen.

De Minaur won the title in Acapulco this season and lost in the final in Rotterdam to Jannik Sinner.

He made his debut at Roland Garros in 2017, and this is the first time he has made it past the second round.

 

Head-to-Head Zverev leads 7-2

  • Zverev vs de Minaur 5-7, 6-2, 6-3 (2024 ATP Indian Wells, round of 16)
  • de Minaur vs Zverev 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 (2024 United Cup)
  • Zverev vs de Minaur 6-3, 7-6 (2022 ATP Rome, round of 16)
  • Zverev vs de Minaur 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 (2021 ATP Vienna, round of 16)
  • de Minaur vs Zverev 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 (2020 ATP Cup)
  • Zverev vs de Minaur 6-4, 6-4 (2019 ATP Acapulco, quarterfinal)
  • Zverev vs de Minaur 6-1, 6-4 (2018 ATP Shanghai, round of 16)
  • Zverev vs de Minaur 6-2, 6-4 (2018 ATP Washington, final)
  • Zverev vs de Minaur 7-5, 4-6, 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 (2018 Davis Cup)

 

Prediction and Conclusion

For the first time in his career, Alex de Minaur has found his way to a quarterfinal at a Grand Slam. He has been playing very well so far in the tournament, coming back from being set down on a couple of occasions. Zverev also had a bumpy road to get here, so we are about to witness a huge fight. Anyway, Zverev has beaten de Minaur seven times before, and the only two wins for Australia came at the United Cup. Zverev is a much better player on clay, and he is in Paris to win his first major. De Minaur will bite as much as he can, but Zverev will be the one to advance to the semis.

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