Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur – Breakdown and Prediction

March 12, 2024

Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur: Which Alex will go through to the quarterfinals?

Two players that have promising seasons will face each other in the Indian Wells round of 16.

Alexander Zverev Profile

Alexander Zverev is sixth in the ATP rankings. The Germans are 13-4 for the season, with all the matches being played on hard surfaces.

The former world No. 2 is coming off a 7-6, 6-3 win over Tallon Griekspoor in the third round after previously beating Christopher O’Connell 6-4, 6-4.

Zverev’s best result this season was the semifinal at the Australian Open, where he lost to Daniil Medvedev.

This is his eighth appearance in Indian Wells, and his best result came in 2021 when he reached the quarterfinal.

Alex de Minaur Profile

Alex de Minaur is currently ranked 10th in the world after last week reaching his career-high ninth place. The Australian is 17-4 for the season and 13-3 on hard surfaces.

He is coming off a 7-5, 6-0 win over Alexander Bublik after beating Taro Daniel 6-2, 6-1.

Last week, de Minaur won the title in Acapulco after failing in the final in Rotterdam.

This is his seventh appearance in Indian Wells, and for the third time, he has reached the round of 16.

Head-to-Head Zverev leads 6-2

De Minaur vs Zverev 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 (2024 United Cup)
Zverev vs De Minaur 6-3, 7-6 (2022 ATP Rome, round of 16)
Zverev vs De Minaur 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 (2021 ATP Vienna, round of 16)
De Minaur vs Zverev 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 (2020 ATP Cup)
Zverev vs De Minaur 6-4, 6-4 (2019 ATP Acapulco, quarterfinal)
Zverev vs De Minaur 6-1, 6-4 (2018 ATP Shanghai, round of 16)
Zverev vs De Minaur 6-2, 6-4 (2018 ATP Washington, final)
Zverev vs De Minaur 7-5, 4-6, 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 (2018 Davis Cup)

Prediction and Conclusion

Both players are having a solid start to the season and are among the top favorites to win in Indian Wells. Zverev has been dominant in the previous head-to-head matches against De Minaur, but given the odds, this is a 50-50 game. De Minaur has already won a title this season and is playing the best tennis in his career, but the fact is that he is still not on the level Zverev is, and the German will be the one to advance.