Darren Lee/Cal Sport Media/Sipa USA

Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers: The game of the week

The LSU Tigers are hosting the Alabama Crimson Tide at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA on Saturday.

The Crimson Tide are not as dominant as usual

The Alabama Crimson Tide are eighth in the SEC with a 6-2 record, including 3-2 in conference play. They have split the last four games and are coming off a 34-0 win over the Missouri Tigers. Jalen Milroe was 16 of 26 passing for 215 yards for Alabama and also ran for 50 yards. Alabama is 16th in the nation scoring 37.6 points per game and rank 37th with 431.8 yards per game.

The Tigers have a perfect home record

The LSU Tigers are fifth in the SEC with a 6-2 record, including 3-1 in conference play. They are coming off a 38-23 loss to the Texas A&M Aggies that ended their six-game winning streak. Garrett Nussmeier was 25 for 50 for 405 yards and two touchdowns with the career-high three interceptions. The Tigers are 21st in the nation with 448 tards per game and rank 34th scoring 32.8 points per game.

Betting Trends

The Tigers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games overall, 14-0 SU in their last 14 home games, and 1-5 SU in their last 6 home games against Alabama. They are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games played in November, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when favorites. LSU has played over the total point line in 4 of their last 5 games against Alabama, in 12 of their last 14 games against teams from the Southeastern Conference, and 8 of their last 10 games against teams from the West Division while they have played under in 4 of their last 5 games overall. The Crimson Tide is 17-3 SU in their last 20 games overall, 11-2 SU in their last 13 games against LSU, 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when visiting LSU, and 14-2 SU in their last 16 games against teams from the Southeastern Conference. They are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games played on Saturday. Alabama has played over the total point line in 11 of their last 15 games overall, 6 of their last 7 games on the road, and 4 of their last 5 games against teams from the West Division.

Prediction and Conclusion

Both the Tigers and the Crimson Tide are going into this game with a 6-2 record, and whoever loses this game will be in deep trouble. Both teams are pretty solid offensively but not as good defensively as we are used to seeing them in recent years. This game will look much like an elimination game and will definitely bring the best out of both sides. Alabama won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matchups, but the Tigers won the last time they met in Baton Rouge. Four of their last five matchups went over the total point line. Now the total point line is set at 58.5 points, which is the second lowest in their last six games, so we go with the over in this one.