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49ers vs Chiefs – Breakdown and Prediction

 

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports/Sipa USA – Photo by Icon Sport

49ers vs Chiefs: Super Bowl LVIII

The San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs will collide in Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada on Sunday.

The Niners have a chance to win the Super Bowl for the first time in 30 years

The San Francisco 49ers are making their eighth Super Bowl appearance, which ties them for the second-most all-time, and they are looking for their sixth win. The last time they won the Super Bowl was in 1994, and they lost in their last two appearances in 2012 and 2019.

They set a record of 38 playoff wins after defeating the Green Bay Packers 24-21 and the Detroit Lions 34-31, becoming the eighth team to reach the Super Bowl after overcoming a second-half deficit in the divisional round and the conference championship game. Four of the previous seven teams that did that won the Super Bowl.

San Francisco’s head coach, Kyle Shanahan, is 8-3 in the playoffs, tied for the second-best winning percentage for any coach with at least 10 games.

QB Brock Purdy has a chance to make it from being the last pick at the NFL Draft to winning the Super Bowl as a starter in only two years. RB Christian McCaffrey has at least 50 yards from scrimmage and a TD in all six of his career playoff games.

The Chiefs are seeking their third Super Bowl win in the last five games

The Kansas City Chiefs are making their sixth Super Bowl appearance. They lost the first Super Bowl to Green Bay, defeated Minnesota in Super Bowl IV, and then waited for five decades before beating San Francisco in 2019. They lost the following one to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and last year they defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 38-35. Kansas City is one of seven franchises to have reached consecutive Super Bowls more than once.

Patrick Mahomes is the main reason for that success, and he has a chance to pass Hall of Famers Terry Bradshaw, John Elway, and Peyton Manning for the third-most playoff wins by a QB in NFL history. Travis Kelce has an NFL-record 159 postseason catches, while his 1,810 yards receiving and 19 touchdowns trail only Jerry Rice in NFL history.

Betting Trends

San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in the last five games overall. Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in the last five games overall, 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games against San Francisco, and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games against teams from the NFC West Division.

Injury Reports

DT Kalia Davis is out for the 49ers with an ankle injury. For the Chiefs, OG Joe Thuney is out with a pectoral injury, OL Prince Tega Wanogho is out with a quad injury and RB Jerick McKinnon is questionable with a groin injury.

Prediction and Conclusion

The 49ers had an excellent season and put themselves in a position to win the Super Bowl for the first time in three decades. They will go against the Chiefs, who have been the best team in the league in the last five years. These two teams met in the Super Bowl four years ago, with Kansas City overcoming a 10-point deficit with three fourth-quarter touchdowns for a 31-20 win. The Chiefs have won five of the past six in the series, including all three games with Mahomes at quarterback. They won 38-27 in 2018 and 44-23 last season. Given the odds, the Niners are -2.5-point favorites tonight, and the Chiefs have at least equal chances of winning this one. Knowing that, the best pick is to go with Kansas City covering the +2.5-point spread.

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