Oilers vs Blues Betting Preview: Predictions & Odds

The Monday night clash between the Edmonton Oilers and St. Louis Blues at Enterprise Center presents a fascinating betting opportunity. Edmonton has steadied after a slow start with a 6-4-3 record, while St. Louis has dropped seven straight games and sits at 3-7-2. With the Oilers’ high-powered offense facing off against the Blues’ struggling defense, this matchup offers multiple angles for savvy bettors to explore.

Current Form and Team Momentum Analysis

The Edmonton Oilers enter this matchup showing signs of finding their rhythm after an inconsistent start to the season. Having split their last eight games, Edmonton’s offensive firepower remains their most dangerous weapon. The Oilers are averaging 3.15 goals per game and converting on an impressive 33.3 percent of their power play opportunities—a crucial advantage against a struggling Blues penalty kill unit.

Meanwhile, the St. Louis Blues find themselves in a concerning downward spiral. After dropping seven consecutive contests, including recent losses to the Blue Jackets and Canucks, the Blues are bleeding confidence. Their defensive struggles have been particularly alarming, allowing 4.17 goals per game while managing just 2.83 goals scored per contest. The Blues’ power play has sputtered at 23.5 percent, and their penalty kill sits at a dismal 69.7 percent—ranks that spell trouble against Edmonton’s elite attackers.

Public money is backing the Oilers at roughly 70 percent, but sharper bettors have shown mild interest in the home underdog, suggesting there might be contrarian value in the Blues despite their current struggles.

Star Power Showdown: Oilers’ Elite Duo vs Blues’ Depth

Edmonton’s championship aspirations rest heavily on the shoulders of Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl. Draisaitl leads the Oilers with 9 goals and has been particularly dominant, recording at least one assist in each of his last seven games against Central Division opponents. McDavid has contributed 14 assists, showcasing his playmaking brilliance. Evan Bouchard adds another dimension from the blue line with 35 shots on goal and a proven track record of recording points in 12 of the Oilers’ last 13 games as favorites against Central Division opponents.

For St. Louis, Jake Neighbours leads the scoring with 6 goals, while Robert Thomas provides playmaking with 5 assists. Jordan Kyrou has generated 28 shots on goal but hasn’t found consistent finishing touch. If Blues No. 1 center Robert Thomas (upper body) is out of the lineup again tonight, the gap in star power will be all the more increased, putting additional pressure on secondary scorers like Pavel Buchnevich and Dylan Holloway.

Goaltending Battle: Edge to Edmonton

Between the pipes, Edmonton’s Stuart Skinner has faced 231 shots and allowed 23 goals, while backup Calvin Pickard has given up 14 goals on 91 shots. The Blues’ netminding situation presents more concern—Jordan Binnington has allowed 26 goals on 186 shots faced, and Joel Hofer has surrendered 20 goals on just 117 shots. The Blues rank dead last in the league with an .848 save percentage, a statistic that should have Oilers fans salivating at scoring opportunities.

The Blues’ goaltending woes extend beyond basic statistics—they suffered the largest comeback loss this season, blowing a four-goal lead against the Red Wings on October 25. This defensive fragility creates excellent opportunities for Edmonton’s shooters to find the net early and often.

Betting Trends That Matter

Several compelling betting trends emerge from this matchup that warrant consideration:

Pro-Blues Historical Trends:

• The underdogs have won nine of the Blues’ last 10 games at Enterprise Center

• Edmonton has lost each of their last eight Monday road games

• The Oilers have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games as road favorites

• St. Louis has covered the puck line in 20 of their last 22 games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents

Pro-Oilers Recent Form:

• Edmonton has won each of their last six games against Central Division opponents

• The Blues have lost 10 of their last 11 night games

• St. Louis has failed to cover the puck line in each of their last four games at Enterprise Center

• The Oilers have covered the puck line in five of their last six games against Central Division opponents

Home underdogs have been slightly profitable overall this season, with home teams winning about 54% of the time, which adds context to the Blues’ position as home dogs in this matchup.

Player Props and Value Opportunities

Several player prop bets stand out as offering exceptional value for this contest:

Leon Draisaitl emerges as the most compelling prop play. He’s scored a goal in five of the Oilers’ last six road games against the Blues and has recorded at least one assist in each of Edmonton’s last seven games against Central Division opponents. Additionally, Draisaitl boasts a positive plus-minus rating in each of his last five appearances—tied for the longest active streak in the league. His consistency against this Blues defense makes his anytime goal scorer prop highly attractive.

Evan Bouchard presents another solid opportunity, having recorded at least one point in 12 of the Oilers’ last 13 games as favorites against Central Division opponents. His ability to quarterback the power play and generate shots from the blue line makes him a valuable prop consideration.

On the Blues side, Pavel Buchnevich has recorded at least one point in 10 of St. Louis’ last 11 games as underdogs against Pacific Division opponents. Robert Thomas (if healthy) has notched at least one assist in five of the Blues’ last six games against Edmonton. Dylan Holloway has scored in four of the Blues’ last five games against Pacific Division opponents at Enterprise Center, making him a dark horse candidate for a goal prop.

Total Goals Analysis and Period Betting

The totals market presents intriguing possibilities for this matchup. Each of the Oilers’ last four games following an overtime win have gone OVER the total goals line. Conversely, each of the Blues’ last six Monday games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total goals line—a direct contradiction that requires careful evaluation.

Games with a total of 6.5 goals are going under about 57% of the time this season compared to 53% last year, with average scoring at 6.1 goals per game. This league-wide trend toward lower-scoring games should factor into total considerations.

For period-specific betting, the Oilers rank first in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.62), making second-period props particularly attractive. The ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 2′ market has hit in each of the Oilers’ last 11 games against Western Conference opponents. Meanwhile, the ‘Over 1.5 Goals Period 3′ market has hit in each of the Blues’ last six games, suggesting potential late-game fireworks.

Special Teams Advantage: Power Play Dominance

Edmonton’s power play operates at 33.3 percent efficiency—a top-10 mark in the league—while St. Louis’ penalty kill struggles at 69.7 percent. This matchup heavily favors the Oilers, who should generate multiple power play opportunities against an undisciplined Blues squad desperate to end their losing streak.

The Blues’ offensive special teams haven’t fared much better at 23.5 percent, and they’ll face an Oilers penalty kill operating at 80.7 percent. This special teams disparity could prove decisive in a close game.

Expert Pick and Betting Recommendation

Despite the compelling historical trends favoring home underdogs at Enterprise Center and the Blues’ puck line coverage against Pacific Division opponents, the current form differential proves too significant to ignore. Edmonton’s offense finally looks like itself again, with McDavid recording three assists in Saturday’s win over Chicago and Draisaitl piling up nine points in five games.

The Blues simply haven’t generated enough offensive chances to suggest they can end their losing streak against an Oilers team hitting its stride. St. Louis averages only 2.4 goals per game and ranks near the bottom in shot differential, having been out-shot in eight straight outings. Their league-worst save percentage (.848) virtually guarantees Edmonton will find scoring opportunities.

While the Oilers have struggled to finish games lately—they’re the only team to lose multiple games when leading by 2 or more goals after Period 2 this season—their offensive firepower and superior goaltending provide enough cushion against this depleted Blues roster.

Primary Pick: Edmonton Oilers Moneyline (-145)

Value Play: Leon Draisaitl Anytime Goal Scorer

Total: Lean Under 6 goals (given league-wide trends)

The Oilers should extend the Blues’ misery to eight straight losses, though bettors should exercise caution with the puck line given Edmonton’s recent struggles covering as road favorites.

Key Insights for Bettors

Should I bet against the Blues during their seven-game losing streak?

The Blues have become one of the least profitable teams for NHL bettors this season. Their defensive struggles, league-worst save percentage, and inability to generate quality scoring chances suggest continuing to fade them until they show tangible improvement. However, their strong historical puck line coverage at home as underdogs merits caution on large-spread bets.

How reliable is Leon Draisaitl as a prop bet in this matchup?

Draisaitl presents exceptional value with goals in five of his last six road games against St. Louis and assists in each of his last seven games against Central Division opponents. His positive plus-minus streak ties for the league’s longest active run, indicating consistent two-way play that generates scoring opportunities.

What’s the significance of Stuart Skinner starting for Edmonton?

When Stuart Skinner has been the starter, Edmonton has been favored 32 times but gone just 16-16 on the moneyline and an abysmal 9-23 against the spread. If Skinner starts, there’s historical value in backing the underdog to cover. However, against a Blues team this dysfunctional, Edmonton’s offensive superiority may override goaltending concerns.

Are there any valuable total goals bets for Monday’s game?

The Oilers’ trend of OVER hits following overtime wins conflicts with the Blues’ UNDER trend in Monday home games as underdogs. With league-wide scoring averaging 6.1 goals per game and 6.5-goal totals going under 57% of the time, there’s value in UNDER bets if the total is set at 6.5. Period-specific props offer better value, particularly second-period overs for Edmonton.

What makes this a dangerous betting spot despite Edmonton being favored?

The Oilers have lost their last eight Monday road games and failed to cover the puck line in six straight games as road favorites. They’re also the only team to blow multiple leads of 2+ goals after the second period this season. These trends suggest Edmonton can win but may struggle to cover larger spreads, making the moneyline a safer play than the puck line.

Should contrarian bettors consider the Blues based on public betting percentages?

With public money backing the Oilers at roughly 70 percent but sharper bettors showing mild interest in the home underdog, there’s typically contrarian value in fading public perception. However, the Blues’ current form is so poor—seven straight losses with defensive hemorrhaging—that even contrarian angles struggle to justify backing them straight up. The better contrarian play is Blues +1.5 on the puck line if you’re seeking value.