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Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills: Wild Card Matchup Analysis & Betting Predictions

The AFC Wild Card matchup between the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills promises to be a thrilling showdown at Highmark Stadium. As two teams with contrasting strengths and ambitions clash, fans and bettors alike are eager for insights and predictions. In this article, we’ll explore key stats, recent performances, and expert picks to help you navigate this high-stakes playoff game.

Denver Broncos Betting Preview

The Denver Broncos enter the Wild Card round with a mixed bag of performances. Despite recent losses to the Chargers and Bengals, their victory over the Chiefs shows resilience. However, road games remain a challenge, with four losses in their last five outings.

Key Offensive Stats:

• Quarterback Bo Nix: Completing 66.3% of his passes, Nix has thrown for 3,775 yards, 29 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions.

• Top Receivers: Courtland Sutton and Marvin Mims Jr. have amassed 1,584 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns combined, while Devaughn Vele adds depth with 41 receptions.

• Ground Game: Averaging 112.2 yards per contest, Javonte Williams leads the rushing attack with 513 yards and 4 touchdowns.

Defensive Strengths:

• The Broncos allow just 18.3 points and 317.1 yards per game.

• Standout players include Brandon Jones (115 tackles), Nik Bonitto (13.5 sacks), and Pat Surtain II (4 interceptions).

Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bills’ consistent home dominance is a major advantage heading into this game. With wins over the Patriots and Jets, they remain undefeated at Highmark Stadium this season.

Key Offensive Stats:

• Quarterback Josh Allen: Allen’s efficiency shines with a 63.6% completion rate, 3,731 passing yards, 28 touchdowns, and just 6 interceptions.

• Top Receivers: Khalil Shakir and Keon Coleman have contributed 1,377 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, complemented by Dalton Kincaid’s 44 receptions.

• Ground Game: Averaging 133.5 yards per contest, James Cook leads with 1,009 yards and 16 touchdowns.

Defensive Strengths:

• The Bills allow 22.1 points and 347.7 yards per game.

• Key defenders include Dorian Williams (117 tackles), Greg Rousseau (8 sacks), and Ja’Marcus Ingram (2 interceptions).

Key Reasons the Buffalo Bills Could Win

• The Bills have won each of their last eight Wild Card games at home.

• The Broncos struggle on the road, particularly in January, losing seven consecutive games.

• Favorites have covered the spread in 12 of the Broncos’ last 13 games.

• James Cook’s form is a game-changer, with multiple touchdowns in recent matches against top teams.

Why the Denver Broncos Could Surprise

• The Broncos excel as underdogs, winning three of their last four East Coast games.

• Their defense ranks third in scoring, holding six of their last 10 opponents under 20 points.

• Recent performances show resilience, with the Broncos covering the spread in six of their last seven Sunday games.

Expert Betting Prediction

While the Bills are clear favorites due to their home record and offensive firepower, the Broncos’ formidable defense cannot be overlooked. Denver’s ability to keep games close and limit scoring gives them a strong chance to cover the spread.

Final Score Prediction: Bills 24, Broncos 17

Best Bet: Broncos to cover (+9)

Insights

What makes James Cook a key player for the Bills?

James Cook’s versatility is evident with 1,009 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns. He has consistently delivered in high-pressure games, making him a crucial asset for the Bills’ playoff run.

Can Denver’s defense contain Josh Allen? 

Denver’s defense ranks third in scoring and seventh overall, showing the ability to disrupt even elite offenses. However, limiting a dynamic player like Allen will require flawless execution.

What’s at stake for both teams? 

The Bills are on a Super Bowl-or-bust trajectory, while the Broncos aim to prove they belong in the playoff conversation. For Denver, this game is an opportunity to exceed expectations and build momentum for the future.

How do home-field advantages impact the Bills? 

The Bills thrive at Highmark Stadium, winning their last six Wild Card games at home. The electric crowd and cold weather conditions play to their strengths.

Conclusion

The Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Wild Card matchup brings together contrasting styles—a high-powered Bills offense against a tough Broncos defense. While the Bills are poised to win, Denver’s resilience and defensive prowess could make this game closer than expected. Whether you’re a fan or a bettor, this matchup is set to deliver playoff drama at its finest.